Golden Globes 2024 predictions: Picking the winners for all 27 categories

We’re expecting a big night for crowd pleasers, including Barbie, Oppenheimer, Succession, and The Bear

Film Features Golden Globes
Golden Globes 2024 predictions: Picking the winners for all 27 categories
Margot Robbie in Barbie (courtesy Warner Bros.), Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer (courtesy Universal Pictures), Sarah Snook in Succession (courtesy HBO), Jeremy Allen White in The Bear (courtesy FX Networks) Graphic: The A.V. Club

This year’s 81st Golden Globe Awards ceremony may not look any different to viewers watching at home, but behind the scenes it’s another story. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the notoriously small and scandal-plagued group that used to select the winners, has been disbanded in favor of a more racially and ethnically diverse collection of 300 journalists from around the world. That means there will be a totally new voting body this year, with different tastes and perspectives than in years past. In other words, the winners will be even harder to predict than usual.

Will the Globes finally shake their reputation for being the “dumb Oscars” or will they fall back on familiar patterns? We won’t know the answer until the ceremony airs on January 7, but in keeping with tradition we’re going to make our predictions anyway. Here are our picks for the mostly likely winners in all 27 categories, across film and television. They might not all be the nominees we’d like to see win, but they are the ones we believe have the best chance of coming out on top.

The Golden Globes will air on CBS and stream live via Paramount+ with Showtime on January 7.

previous arrowBest Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture next arrow
Dir. Alexander Payne & Paul Giamatti on Da’Vine Joy Randolph’s Layered Performance | In Focus | Ep 7

The nominees:Emily Blunt, OppenheimerDanielle Brooks, The Color PurpleJodie Foster, NyadJulianne Moore, May DecemberRosamund Pike, SaltburnDa’Vine Joy Randolph, The HoldoversWho will win: Da’Vine Joy RandolphThere’s a lot of talent in this category, and each of these performances is special in their own way. Da’Vine Joy Randolph has the edge, though, because of the range and depth she brings to Mary in The Holdovers. Randolph holds the emotional center of the film, and when she falls apart it’s devastating. The role has already earned her a handful of Best Supporting Actress awards from several critics associations, including Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York, so her chances of adding a Golden Globe to the list are pretty good.

14 Comments

  • bs-leblanc-av says:

    I know it’s a requirement for you to do this, but I’d really love to know the corporate thinking behind “our engagement numbers will be higher with 28 slides instead of a long scroll of 28 paragraph/picture combos”. At least in my case, very few of your Spanfeller ads are hitting my eyes because I look at the first two slides and realize I’m not going through all this.

    • planehugger1-av says:

      Hatred and exasperation are forms of engagement. Any kind of engagement will do.  They’re not picky.

    • thegobhoblin-av says:

      This may have changed since I first read about it 10 years ago, but when engagement started to be a factor in determining the success of websites the metric for measuring engagement wasn’t page views or time viewing a page, but clicks. The idea was that the more people are clicking on things on the site the more engaged they are, and the more pressure there was to write articles that necessitate more clicking. That’s why Cracked used to arbitrarily split its articles up with “click to continue” prompts. A 20+ slide slideshow is a click machine that generates the kind of engagement that CEOs like to see, the kind that is easily measured. That’s why they keep getting written even though they are a slog to read and generally unpopular among readers.

    • icehippo73-av says:

      All you need to do is narrow your browser window, and it turns into one long scroll. 

  • planehugger1-av says:

    The Golden Globes may be the “dumb Oscars,” and I could certainly do without the periodic reminders that the Globes are openly corrupt. But I’ll take a messy, booze-fueled award show any day over the Academy Awards. I like that the Globes seems to embrace the fact that it’s doing a silly, meaningless thing. Silly, meaningless things that make people happy are great!

  • icehippo73-av says:

    How many times are they going to award Paul Giamatti for playing Paul Giamatti?I always enjoy watching him, but I’d love to see him move on from the cranky persona at some point. 

  • jas91-av says:

    I think the Succession cast in Male leading+ supporting will end up splitting votes, allowing another nominee to win. I mean, 3 nominees from the same show?? 

  • voldermortkhan-av says:

    Barbie was not good.My old mama was right.Para los gustos se hicieron los colores.

  • kilgore502-av says:

    The Bear is not a comedy goddamnit! I watched maybe two minutes of season two but I just can’t watch any more miserable sad-sack “dramedy.” Can we please have some comedy where the setup isn’t suicide or addiction or class disparity?

  • dgstan2-av says:

    Ebon Moss-Bachrach wins for supporting actor in The Bear.

  • adamthompson123-av says:

    This is written as if the author had seen all of the shows and movies. Cindy White, have you seen all of this content?

  • barnoldblevin-av says:

    Slow Horses is a snooooooooooooooze

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